Speaking in a TV interview on Wednesday 30th January 2013, President Obama said
that he expects comprehensive immigration reform legislation to be passed by the
US Congress within the next six months. The President told Spanish language TV
station Telemundo that he expected the legislation to be passed by the end of
2013 but said he would make every effort to ensure that it passed quicker. 'I
can guarantee that I will put everything behind it' he said.
He later
told rival Spanish television station Univision that he was not prepared to see
immigration reform delayed. The President said that he intended to allow
Congress to legislate to reform the system but warned that, if Congress failed
to do so, he would introduce his own legislation and make Congress vote on
reform again.
In the US, when politicians speak of 'immigration
reform' they are almost always referring to the issue of illegal immigration,
largely from Mexico. There are, according to the Pew Hispanic Center, some 11m
illegal immigrants in the
US,
well over half of these being from Mexico and around 80% overall coming from
Latin America. Other immigration issues pale into insignificance because of the
sheer numbers, and costs, involved; Last year, the US spent some $18bn on
policing the border with Mexico to prevent illegal immigration; more than the
amount spent on all other law enforcement combined.
America 'founded by immigrants'
The President promised immigration
reform during his re-election campaign last year. He also promised it during his
first election campaign in 2008. This time, however, the President says that he
will deliver on his promise. The President pointed out in a speech on Tuesday
29th January that most Americans are of immigrant stock. The Country was founded
by immigrants.
The President has said that he owes his election
victory in November 2012 to Hispanic voters. Hispanic voters are the fastest
growing section of the US electorate. They currently number some 50m and this
number is expected to grow to 110m by 2050. Over 70% of Hispanic voters voted
for the President in the November election, largely, analysts believe, because
Republican challenger Mitt Romney took such a hard line on illegal immigration.
Mr Romney said that he favoured a policy of 'self-deportation' which involves
making life so unpleasant and difficult for those in the country illegally that
they choose to leave.
This demographic projection is the reason,
Washington insiders say, that immigration reform has become so important in
Washington. Some Republican analysts believe that the party must change its tune
on immigration or risk becoming perpetual losers in US Presidential
elections.
House Republicans oppose reform
However, there is a considerable number
of Republican Congressmen and women who are opposed to any immigration reforms
that result in illegal immigrants being allowed to say in the US; they will do
their best to stop it happening.
Under the US system, for a new law
to be passed both chambers of Congress; the Senate and the House of
Representatives must vote in favour of it. Then the President has to sign it
into law, giving him a veto on legislation.
In the case of
immigration reform, the Democrats control the Senate and could vote a reform
bill through without Republican support. This may not actually be necessary as a
bipartisan agreement on reform has been reached and some Republicans are helping
to formulate the proposed law.
Senior Republicans in the Senate including
former presidential candidate John McCain of Arizona, Lindsay Graham of North
Carolina and Marcio Rubio of Florida have worked with senior Democrats including
Charles Schumer of New York and Dick Durbin of Illinois to create a framework
for legislation.
Comprehensive reform programme
The basic elements of the framework
are
• The establishment of a 'path to citizenship' for the 11m illegal
immigrants currently living in the
US.
• Strengthening security
along the Mexican border
• More resources to be put into tracking foreign
nationals in the US on visas.
• Overhauling the US visa system to reduce
backlogs.
• Awarding green cards to foreign technology graduates from US
universities
• Rolling out a national 'e-verify' system to prevent illegal
aliens from working in the US
• Establishment of a low-skilled migrant worker
visa which would allow US employers to employ foreign workers in sectors such as
agriculture where it is impossible to recruit US citizens.
As yet,
few details of the legislation have emerged. US business will be waiting to see
the details of the reforms to be made to the employment-based migration system.
Industry voices from companies such as Microsoft and TechAmerica have complained
for some time that the restrictions on the numbers of foreign skilled workers
allowed to move to the US to work is harmful to the economy.
Last
year, the mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg, joined forces with media tycoon
Rupert Murdoch to call for all graduates in STEM subjects (science, technology,
engineering and maths) to have a green card (or permanent resident permit)
'stapled to their diplomas'). Various bills have been introduced to increase the
numbers of green cards granted but there has, as yet, been no change to the
law.
US business will also be looking for reforms in the numbers of
H-1B visas and L1 visas that are awarded each year. Business claims that
restrictions in the numbers of economic migrants are damaging the US
economy.
More H-1B and L1 visas
At present, there is a cap of 65,000 on the
number of H-1B visas that can be granted in any one year. The visas are granted
to foreign workers who are skilled in a 'specialty occupation'. So great is the
demand for H-1B visas that the cap is usually reached within two months of the
start of the new financial year every April. They are 'dual intent' visas which
means that they can also have the intent to apply for permanent residence visas.
However, employment based immigration is difficult. It can take years for an
employment based immigration petition to be approved.
International
businesses will no doubt lobby Congress for a reform of the L1 visa system. L1
visas allow employees of international companies to transfer to the US to work.
L1-A visas are for managers and L-1B visas are for skilled workers with
'specialized knowledge'. International businesses have complained that it has
become harder for their staff to get L1 visas. In 2012, international software
company Oracle complained 38% of its L1-B applications were refused in 2011,
including one made on behalf of an Indian employees who was refused an L1-B visa
on the grounds that he did not have 'specialized knowledge' of a particular
piece of software despite the fact that he had written the user manual for this
software package.
House of Representatives opposed
All of these issues will need to be
resolved and, there will be, no doubt, much horse-trading behind the scenes.
Nonetheless, the President can be more or less certain that the Senate will pass
reform. He is likely to have more difficulties, however, with the House of
Representatives which is controlled by the Republicans. While Republican leader
in the House, John Boehner has said that he will cooperate on reform, many
right-wing Republicans, particularly those who have been elected thanks to the
efforts of the right-wing anti-Washington, anti-government, anti-tax,
anti-immigration Tea Party movement, are opposed to any change in the law that
could be seen as an amnesty for illegal immigrants and could block reform
legislation. Representative Lamar Smith of Texas said on Monday that any amnesty
for illegal immigrants would cost American jobs and lead to further illegal
immigration.
The President, it seems, is not prepared to allow the
House to thwart him. His thinking appears to be that, by forcing a vote on
reform in the House, he will show the electorate that it is Republicans in the
House that are holding up reform thereby making them even less popular with the
electorate who are frustrated with the perpetual lack of cooperation in
Washington. The President hopes it seems, to force House Republicans to vote for
reform of some sort. The Democrats have also offered an olive branch to the
Republicans by including a commitment to strengthening the US's borders to
prevent further illegal immigration in the proposed legislation.
Right wingers warn Republicans against cooperation
However, there are
voices on the right that are warning the Republicans not to compromise. Steven
Camarota of the anti-immigration Center for Immigration Studies has warned that
'Hispanics have the most negative view of capitalism – 55% had a negative view.
You cannot add millions of liberal citizens to your country and not expect
public policy to change.'
Mr Camarota has also warned that the 1.1m
legal immigrants who become US citizens every year are also moving the country
to the left and risk making the Republicans unelectable. He has called for a
reduction of immigration to the level of about 300,000 a year. If this occurred,
he said 'then I think conservatives might have a fighting chance.'
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