Speaking in a TV interview on Wednesday 30th January 2013, President Obama said 
that he expects comprehensive immigration reform legislation to be passed by the 
US Congress within the next six months. The President told Spanish language TV 
station Telemundo that he expected the legislation to be passed by the end of 
2013 but said he would make every effort to ensure that it passed quicker. 'I 
can guarantee that I will put everything behind it' he said.
He later 
told rival Spanish television station Univision that he was not prepared to see 
immigration reform delayed. The President said that he intended to allow 
Congress to legislate to reform the system but warned that, if Congress failed 
to do so, he would introduce his own legislation and make Congress vote on 
reform again.
In the US, when politicians speak of 'immigration 
reform' they are almost always referring to the issue of illegal immigration, 
largely from Mexico. There are, according to the Pew Hispanic Center, some 11m 
illegal immigrants in the 
US, 
well over half of these being from Mexico and around 80% overall coming from 
Latin America. Other immigration issues pale into insignificance because of the 
sheer numbers, and costs, involved; Last year, the US spent some $18bn on 
policing the border with Mexico to prevent illegal immigration; more than the 
amount spent on all other law enforcement combined.
America 'founded by immigrants'
The President promised immigration 
reform during his re-election campaign last year. He also promised it during his 
first election campaign in 2008. This time, however, the President says that he 
will deliver on his promise. The President pointed out in a speech on Tuesday 
29th January that most Americans are of immigrant stock. The Country was founded 
by immigrants.
The President has said that he owes his election 
victory in November 2012 to Hispanic voters. Hispanic voters are the fastest 
growing section of the US electorate. They currently number some 50m and this 
number is expected to grow to 110m by 2050. Over 70% of Hispanic voters voted 
for the President in the November election, largely, analysts believe, because 
Republican challenger Mitt Romney took such a hard line on illegal immigration. 
Mr Romney said that he favoured a policy of 'self-deportation' which involves 
making life so unpleasant and difficult for those in the country illegally that 
they choose to leave.
This demographic projection is the reason, 
Washington insiders say, that immigration reform has become so important in 
Washington. Some Republican analysts believe that the party must change its tune 
on immigration or risk becoming perpetual losers in US Presidential 
elections.
House Republicans oppose reform
However, there is a considerable number 
of Republican Congressmen and women who are opposed to any immigration reforms 
that result in illegal immigrants being allowed to say in the US; they will do 
their best to stop it happening.
Under the US system, for a new law 
to be passed both chambers of Congress; the Senate and the House of 
Representatives must vote in favour of it. Then the President has to sign it 
into law, giving him a veto on legislation.
In the case of 
immigration reform, the Democrats control the Senate and could vote a reform 
bill through without Republican support. This may not actually be necessary as a 
bipartisan agreement on reform has been reached and some Republicans are helping 
to formulate the proposed law.
Senior Republicans in the Senate including 
former presidential candidate John McCain of Arizona, Lindsay Graham of North 
Carolina and Marcio Rubio of Florida have worked with senior Democrats including 
Charles Schumer of New York and Dick Durbin of Illinois to create a framework 
for legislation.
Comprehensive reform programme
The basic elements of the framework 
are
• The establishment of a 'path to citizenship' for the 11m illegal 
immigrants currently living in the 
US. 
• Strengthening security 
along the Mexican border
• More resources to be put into tracking foreign 
nationals in the US on visas. 
• Overhauling the US visa system to reduce 
backlogs.
• Awarding green cards to foreign technology graduates from US 
universities
• Rolling out a national 'e-verify' system to prevent illegal 
aliens from working in the US
• Establishment of a low-skilled migrant worker 
visa which would allow US employers to employ foreign workers in sectors such as 
agriculture where it is impossible to recruit US citizens.
As yet, 
few details of the legislation have emerged. US business will be waiting to see 
the details of the reforms to be made to the employment-based migration system. 
Industry voices from companies such as Microsoft and TechAmerica have complained 
for some time that the restrictions on the numbers of foreign skilled workers 
allowed to move to the US to work is harmful to the economy.
Last 
year, the mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg, joined forces with media tycoon 
Rupert Murdoch to call for all graduates in STEM subjects (science, technology, 
engineering and maths) to have a green card (or permanent resident permit) 
'stapled to their diplomas'). Various bills have been introduced to increase the 
numbers of green cards granted but there has, as yet, been no change to the 
law.
US business will also be looking for reforms in the numbers of 
H-1B visas and L1 visas that are awarded each year. Business claims that 
restrictions in the numbers of economic migrants are damaging the US 
economy.
More H-1B and L1 visas
At present, there is a cap of 65,000 on the 
number of H-1B visas that can be granted in any one year. The visas are granted 
to foreign workers who are skilled in a 'specialty occupation'. So great is the 
demand for H-1B visas that the cap is usually reached within two months of the 
start of the new financial year every April. They are 'dual intent' visas which 
means that they can also have the intent to apply for permanent residence visas. 
However, employment based immigration is difficult. It can take years for an 
employment based immigration petition to be approved.
International 
businesses will no doubt lobby Congress for a reform of the L1 visa system. L1 
visas allow employees of international companies to transfer to the US to work. 
L1-A visas are for managers and L-1B visas are for skilled workers with 
'specialized knowledge'. International businesses have complained that it has 
become harder for their staff to get L1 visas. In 2012, international software 
company Oracle complained 38% of its L1-B applications were refused in 2011, 
including one made on behalf of an Indian employees who was refused an L1-B visa 
on the grounds that he did not have 'specialized knowledge' of a particular 
piece of software despite the fact that he had written the user manual for this 
software package.
House of Representatives opposed
All of these issues will need to be 
resolved and, there will be, no doubt, much horse-trading behind the scenes. 
Nonetheless, the President can be more or less certain that the Senate will pass 
reform. He is likely to have more difficulties, however, with the House of 
Representatives which is controlled by the Republicans. While Republican leader 
in the House, John Boehner has said that he will cooperate on reform, many 
right-wing Republicans, particularly those who have been elected thanks to the 
efforts of the right-wing anti-Washington, anti-government, anti-tax, 
anti-immigration Tea Party movement, are opposed to any change in the law that 
could be seen as an amnesty for illegal immigrants and could block reform 
legislation. Representative Lamar Smith of Texas said on Monday that any amnesty 
for illegal immigrants would cost American jobs and lead to further illegal 
immigration.
The President, it seems, is not prepared to allow the 
House to thwart him. His thinking appears to be that, by forcing a vote on 
reform in the House, he will show the electorate that it is Republicans in the 
House that are holding up reform thereby making them even less popular with the 
electorate who are frustrated with the perpetual lack of cooperation in 
Washington. The President hopes it seems, to force House Republicans to vote for 
reform of some sort. The Democrats have also offered an olive branch to the 
Republicans by including a commitment to strengthening the US's borders to 
prevent further illegal immigration in the proposed legislation.
Right wingers warn Republicans against cooperation
However, there are 
voices on the right that are warning the Republicans not to compromise. Steven 
Camarota of the anti-immigration Center for Immigration Studies has warned that 
'Hispanics have the most negative view of capitalism – 55% had a negative view. 
You cannot add millions of liberal citizens to your country and not expect 
public policy to change.'
Mr Camarota has also warned that the 1.1m 
legal immigrants who become US citizens every year are also moving the country 
to the left and risk making the Republicans unelectable. He has called for a 
reduction of immigration to the level of about 300,000 a year. If this occurred, 
he said 'then I think conservatives might have a fighting chance.'
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